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CIPD - The first fall in vacancy numbers since mid-2020 suggest the labour market is losing some momentum

‘The labour market remains tight but real pay packets are shrinking’, says the CIPD in response to the latest labour market statistics from the ONS    

Responding to yesterday’s ONS figures, Jonathan Boys, labour market economist for the CIPD, the professional body for HR and people development, comments:

“There is evidence of slowing momentum in the labour market with the first quarterly decrease in vacancy numbers since mid-2020. However, the labour market remains incredibly tight with strong labour demand and candidates in short supply. The immediate problem for businesses is labour shortages. For now, there remains strong demand for their goods and services and staff are needed to deliver these. The redundancy rate remains near record lows showing that businesses are focusing as much on retention as they are recruitment to meet staffing needs.

Regular pay growth was 4.7% in the year to April-June 2022. This is relatively high by recent standards but falls well short of the rise in prices. Inflation currently stands at 9.4% in the 12 months to June 2022 and is expected to peak at 13% later this year. Regular pay therefore fell by 3% - the biggest fall ever recorded in the time series going back to 2001. The yawning chasm between pay growth and inflation will continue to erode pay packets making people poorer.

Employers have an important role to play in alleviating the cost of living crisis for their staff. CIPD research suggests that better use of existing benefits can make people better off. Certain fringe benefits can offset household costs like housing, travel, and childcare. CIPD research also finds employees working in a company with a financial wellbeing policy are more likely to feel in control of their finances. However, just 18% of organisations currently have a financial wellbeing policy.”

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Labour market statistics time series: August 2022

Original article link: https://www.cipd.co.uk/about/media/press/160822-ONS-August-2022

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