How the German elections may affect Brexit
German federal elections in late September are likely to see Angela Merkel enter her fourth term as chancellor, yet without a majority big enough to govern alone. Open Europe’s Leopold Traugott assesses the possible outcomes of the election, and how they may influence Berlin’s position in negotiations over Brexit and future UK-EU relations.
The best likely outcome the UK can hope for would be a coalition of the CDU/CSU and Free Democrats (FDP). There have already been eight such coalitions at federal level since 1949, and with recent polls putting their combined vote share at 46-49%, it is entirely an realistic possibility.
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May needs to show the EU the colour of our money to unlock the next round of Brexit talks03/11/2017 12:15:00
In an article originally published on ConservativeHome, Open Europe’s Director Henry Newman writes that the decision on whether the UK has achieved “sufficient progress” in the talks is a political not a technical judgement, and that the key stumbling block is money.
Catalan separatism is part of a broader crisis of legitimacy31/10/2017 11:15:00
In an article originally published in the Spectator’s Coffee House blog, Open Europe’s Enea Desideri writes that regionalist and separatist demands in Catalonia and elsewhere are only one symptom of a broader European problem: the desire for greater autonomy from authorities that are perceived as illegitimate.
Clash over the reform of the Posted Workers Directive points to wider divisions in EU27/10/2017 12:15:00
EU member states have reached a deal on a revision of the Posted Workers Directive. However, the agreement came amid tensions, which are likely to leave marks on the unity of the EU bloc, and calls into question the fundamentals of the Single Market. Open Europe’s Enea Desideri looks at the proposed revision and at its controversial nature.
Austria: coalition talks with the far right begin25/10/2017 11:15:00
Negotiations to form a right-wing government in Austria are starting today. Open Europe's Leopold Traugott explains what to look out for, and what the outcome of these negotiations could mean for Austria's role in Europe.