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NIESR: Head of UK macroeconomic forecasting Amit Kara reacts to the latest ONS CPI inflation data

Reacting to the latest CPI inflation figures released yesterday but the ONS NIESR’s Head of UK macroeconomic forecasting, Amit Kara said: “CPI inflation was 2.6 per cent over the 12 month period to July, unchanged from the previous month and broadly consistent with our forecast published in the August  Economic Review.”

He added: “We expect inflation to rise further over the course of this year and to reach a peak of 3 per cent in the final quarter of 2017. Thereafter, we see inflation falling back towards the target rate of 2 per cent, but in the meantime, this elevated level of inflation will exert further downward pressure on real household disposable income, at a time when wage growth remains modest, and in turn squeeze consumer spending.”

Notes for editors:

For further information and to arrange interviews, please contact the NIESR Press Office:

Paola Buonadonna on 020 7654 1923 / p.buonadonna@niesr.ac.uk   

NIESR aims to promote, through quantitative and qualitative research, a deeper understanding of the interaction of economic and social forces that affect people's lives, and the ways in which policies can improve them.

Further details of NIESR’s activities can be seen on http://www.niesr.ac.uk or by contacting enquiries@niesr.ac.uk . Switchboard Telephone Number: +44 (0) 207 222 7665

 

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