Open Europe - What if...? The consequences, challenges and opportunities facing Britain outside the EU
According to Open Europe's comprehensive new report, UK GDP in a best case scenario, under which the UK manages to enter into liberal trade arrangements with the EU and the rest of the world, whilst pursuing large-scale deregulation at home, Britain could be better off by 1.6% of GDP in 2030
According to Open Europe's comprehensive new report, UK GDP could be 2.2% lower in 2030 if Britain leaves the EU and fails to strike a deal with the EU or reverts into protectionism. In a best case scenario, under which the UK manages to enter into liberal trade arrangements with the EU and the rest of the world, whilst pursuing large-scale deregulation at home, Britain could be better off by 1.6% of GDP in 2030. However, a far more realistic range is between a 0.8% permanent loss to GDP in 2030 and a 0.6% permanent gain in GDP in 2030, in scenarios where Britain mixes policy approaches.
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NIESR: Head of UK macroeconomic forecasting Amit Kara reacts to the latest ONS CPI inflation data16/08/2017 13:05:00
Reacting to the latest CPI inflation figures released yesterday but the ONS NIESR’s Head of UK macroeconomic forecasting, Amit Kara said: “CPI inflation was 2.6 per cent over the 12 month period to July, unchanged from the previous month and broadly consistent with our forecast published in the August Economic Review.”
IFS - Men from poor backgrounds have lower earnings and are twice as likely to be single as those from rich families15/08/2017 11:35:00
In 2012, more than one-in-three men from disadvantaged backgrounds lived alone in their early 40s. This compared with only one-in-seven men from rich backgrounds living without a partner. This disparity has strengthened the link between the incomes of families across generations, thus reducing social mobility.
IPPR comment on breaking collapse of LearnDirect15/08/2017 10:35:00
Joe Dromey, IPPR senior research fellow, commented on the news that LearnDirect, the UK's largest adult training provider, is 'on the brink of collapse'
The King's Fund responds to NHS monthly performance figures for June 201715/08/2017 09:35:00
Responding to the NHS monthly performance figures for June 2017, Richard Murray, Director of Policy at The King’s Fund, said: ‘The fact that there are now more than four million people waiting for treatment is a symbolic moment for the NHS.
NIESR: August 2017 GDP Estimates - GDP growth of 0.2% in the 3 months to July 201711/08/2017 14:05:00
Our monthly estimates of GDP suggest that output grew by 0.2 per cent in the three months ending in July 2017 after growth of 0.3 per cent in the second quarter of 2017: the economy continues to grow below its long run trend of 0.6 percent.