Unsettled end to October
With the Atlantic continuing to dominate the UK weather forecast, we can expect the rest of the month to remain unsettled with heavy rain and strong winds, interspersed with brighter periods.
Chief Meteorologist Andy Page yesterday said:
“Until the end of October we are looking at an unsettled spell of typical autumnal weather which will dominate the forecast. Every year we expect the remnants of decaying tropical hurricanes to disrupt conditions when they enter the North Atlantic.
“The remnants of former Hurricane Epsilon have been subsumed into another deep area of low pressure to the south-west of Iceland, and although the low centre is a long way from our shores and won’t cause disruption, the trailing weather fronts associated with this system will bring wind and rain to the UK, along with a potentially heavy swell.
“However, it is rain rather than wind that will dominate our attention later in the week with a so-called ‘warm conveyor’ set up to bring a flow of very moist and warm air to the UK from further south in the Atlantic, triggering heavy rainfall for high ground in the west of the UK. We have issued a Yellow warning covering parts of Wales and North-west England for Thursday and Friday as additional rainfall in these areas may lead to impacts, including flooding.
“Across the warning area accumulations of 30-40mm of rain can be expected, while isolated areas exposed the strong south-westerly winds could see 50-80mm. We expect the heaviest rainfall to occur in the mountains of Wales where some areas could witness 130mm of rainfall.”
At the weekend, the forecast is showing potential for the remnants of ex-hurricane Zeta to move into the North Atlantic, with the associated moisture being entrained into the Atlantic frontal systems, to again bring the potential for further heavy rain to parts of the UK later in the weekend and into early next week. However, confidence at this time range is fairly low for this aspect of the forecast.
Andy Page added:
“We will continue to monitor the situation, issue warnings accordingly, and work with partners to provide advice to the public.”
You can check the latest weather warnings on our severe weather warnings pages and you can get the most accurate and up to date forecast for your area using our forecast pages and by following us on Twitter and Facebook, as well as using our mobile app which is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store. Whatever the weather we are all being urged to remember the Government Coronavirus guidelines.
Latest News from
Snowy Start to Saturday15/01/2021 14:10:00
A weather front moving eastwards across the UK tomorrow is expected to bring rain and snow to eastern parts of the UK.
2020 ends earth’s warmest 10 years on record15/01/2021 13:15:00
The latest data confirms 2020 concludes the earth’s warmest 10-year period on record.
Why the beast from the east is unlikely to roar.15/01/2021 08:10:00
A sudden stratospheric warming high in the atmosphere early in January has led to reports a so called ‘Beast from the East’ is heading our way and speculation of extreme cold weather to come.
Fingerprints of climate change on UK weather in 202013/01/2021 10:15:00
2020 was a remarkable year for our climate, with the year being the UK’s third warmest, sixth wettest and eighth sunniest in the UK national series, extending back to 1884, 1862 and 1919, respectively.
Atmospheric carbon dioxide to pass iconic threshold11/01/2021 09:25:00
In 2021, carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will reach levels 50% higher than before the industrial revolution, due to human-caused emissions, says a Met Office forecast.
New year begins with a sudden stratospheric warming06/01/2021 10:15:00
Meteorologists are already able to note a significant atmospheric observation in their 2021 diaries with the beginning of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW), which started over the weekend – this was forecast last week.
2020 - a remarkable year05/01/2021 16:15:00
2020 was notable for being ranked in the top ten for mean temperature, rainfall, and sunshine.
Risk of snow and ice continues30/12/2020 09:10:00
The cold weather will stay with us as we head into the New Year. Cold northerly winds will bring frost and ice for many through the rest of the week, with a covering of snow in places.