Analysis of serious and organised crime threats
1 May 2014 03:15 PM
The National Crime Agency has published the most
comprehensive public-facing analysis to date of the serious and organised crime
threats affecting the UK.
National Strategic Assessment (NSA) draws together knowledge from across the
whole law enforcement community. It provides an objective picture of serious
organised crime threats, enabling UK law enforcement as a whole to prioritise,
coordinate and target the response.
Key themes in the 2014 assessment include:
growth of online streaming of real-time child sexual abuse
anticipated growth in the targeted compromise by cyber criminals of UK
networked systems, including more ransomware attacks and distributed denial of
service (DDOS) attacks
threat to the UK economy from money laundering
likely increase in the supply of heroin from Afghanistan, the
processing/production of amphetamine in the UK, and the supply of new
increase in the criminal exploitation of the legitimate supply of
The NSA is presented in two sections:
first section identifies and assesses the scale and nature of serious and
organised crime in the UK in terms of criminals, their impact on victims, and
five cross-cutting issues they exploit: cyber, borders, corruption, money
laundering / criminal finance, and identify theft / fraud.
second section assesses the identified threats and how those are likely to
develop over the next 1-3 years, including: child sexual exploitation, criminal
use of firearms, cyber crime, drug trafficking, economic crime, human
trafficking (including modern slavery) and people smuggling, organised
acquisitive crime, and the threats posed by serious and organised criminals in
prison and under lifetime management.
NCA Director General Keith Bristow said:
“To relentlessly disrupt serious and organised crime as effectively as
possible we need to take informed decisions about how law enforcement
coordinates and targets its resources. The National Strategic Assessment
provides us with the baseline for doing that.
“This assessment, which is the first one published by the NCA, is the
most detailed and broad-ranging crime threat analysis ever produced by law
“Importantly, because of the way the NCA has been set up to lead and
coordinate the UK response to serious and organised crime, this is also the
first time that the shared threat assessment fits within a national framework,
fundamentally connecting our strategic understanding of the threats with a
UK-wide tactical response to them.
“The assessment, and the response to it, is owned by the whole of law
enforcement, including police forces and other national agencies, as well as
Whitehall departments, local government, industry partners and the third
“It helps us maximise our collective impact in order to cut serious and
Download the National Strategic Assessment 2014