Scotland’s
recovery is set to consolidate further in 2014 following the fastest year of
economic growth since before the recession in 2007, with the pace of expansion
expected to accelerate this year.
The Scottish
Government’s Chief Economist published the State of the Economy report.
Dr Gary Gillespie’s report highlights:
∙ Scotland’s economy grew 1.6 per cent during 2013, the first calendar
year since 2007 with four quarters of growth. Economic output remains on track
to surpass its pre-recession peak during the first half of 2014.
∙ Most survey
evidence points to growing confidence across the majority of sectors in
Scotland and the outlook in key trading partners has improved over the last
year.
∙ The improving
picture has been most strongly evident in the aggregate labour market
indicators, with employment rising over the year and unemployment falling.
Employment is now back above pre-recession levels and at its highest level on
record in Scotland.
∙ However, it is
important to put these trends in context. Scotland entered recession over 5
years ago (22 quarters) and the effects of the crisis will continue to have an
impact for some time to come.
∙ Nevertheless,
with the economy recording its fastest year of growth in five years in 2013 and
forecasters expecting the pace to accelerate further in 2014, future prospects
for the economy remain optimistic.
Commenting on the
report, Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Sustainable Growth John Swinney
said:
“I welcome
the Chief Economist’s report, which shows that economic recovery is
progressing and consolidating and that is set to continue throughout 2014
– good news for business and good news for hard working people across the
country.
“This latest
snapshot presents a picture of strengthening recovery and growing optimism
highlighted in recent survey data.
“We have
turned a corner but significant challenges still remain as businesses continue
to respond to changing market conditions and a challenging external
environment, particularly in our key export market of Europe.
“This report
also highlights the need to ensure a broad based recovery and the potential for
increased business investment and productivity growth to help the economy
recover further.
“I
particularly welcome the outlook for the labour market, reflecting the strong
performance over the last year. Whilst we continue to look at what more can be
done to boost employment our policy of investing in infrastructure to boost the
economy and our focus on tackling youth unemployment has delivered employment
levels at a record high.”