WIREDGOV

An Accredited Official Statistics Publication for Scotland.

The Chief Statistician has released predictions for the 2025 Scottish harvest.

These industry predictions anticipate overall cereal production could reach a high of over 3.2 million tonnes.

This could bring total production in at well above the average over the past five years, despite dry spring and summer conditions.

Winter crops, including winter barley, oilseed rape and wheat, are predicted to perform well, with some very good yields being reported.

The outlook is more mixed for spring crops, where the impacts of drought as a result of the sunniest spring and hottest summer on record will be most felt. Spring barley, Scotland’s largest cereal crop, is expected to come in at around average despite the challenging growing conditions.

Background

The full statistical publication is available with supporting data tables at: Cereal and oilseed rape harvest - first estimates: 2025 - gov.scot

Estimates are based on first soundings of the 2025 harvest at the end of September. Final results will be released in December after the harvest is complete.

Estimates are based on harvest yields given by a panel of experts at a Crop Report Meeting and provisional land use areas from the June Agricultural Census. Final land use areas will be published in the Results of the June Agricultural Census.

Official statistics are produced in accordance with the Code of Practice for Statistics.